Confidence Intervals

This week you will begin working on Phase 2 of your course project. Using the same data set and variables for your selected topic, add the following information to your analysis:
1. Discuss the importance of constructing confidence intervals for the population mean.
o What are confidence intervals?
o What is a point estimate?
o What is the best point estimate for the population mean? Explain.
o Why do we need confidence intervals?

2. Find the best point estimate of the population mean.

3. Construct two confidence intervals for the population mean: a 95% confidence interval and a 99% confidence interval. Assume that your data is normally distributed and the population standard deviation is unknown.
o Please show your work for the construction of these confidence intervals and be sure to format your equations to fit the appropriate form (may need editing here).

4. Write a paragraph that correctly interprets the confidence intervals in context of your selected topic.

5. Compare and contrast your findings for the 95% and 99% confidence intervals.
o Did you notice any changes in your interval estimate? Explain.
o What conclusion(s) can be drawn about your interval estimates when the confidence level is increased? Explain.
Be sure to number your responses to these questions using the same numbers as above for your sections.

This assignment should be formatted using APA guidelines and a minimum of 2 pages in length.

Introduction paper

 

Please write a 575 – 600 word double spaced paper that tells why freedom of speech/the press is important to you and in which ways you believe speech or the press ought to be regulated by the government.

 

 

Brand Experience Map and Touch Point

 

1. The audience brand experience map.

Plot the audience journey that the brand provides. What truths can the brand journey reveal? What frontiers does the journey explore? What’s the spirit?

What’s the tone?

a) What is holding our customers back?
b) Whare the customers want and what we can do to help them?
c) How can our brand advance customers beyond the reach of competitors?
d) How can we create customers that add value back to the brand.

Identify special touch-points where potential customers can engage with the brand and build an emotional connection or through sensory stimuli. Consider

multimedia platforms incorporating the use of time and space such as graphic displays and video projection, pop-up installations, virtual or physical

window displays etc.

2. Touch point detail:

The touch point is the store. Explain how the potential customers will engage and connect emotionally and physically with the brand through the store.

It should address:
a) definition of touch point type and channel
b) possition on the audience experience map ( pre, during or post-purchase)
c) multiple sensory elements
d) types of user interaction or engagement
e) emotional branding and demonstration of empathy with customers

The relationship between the barriers that hinder TQM implementation and the key factors required for TQM implementation

 

1. Writing a small sub section of academic work (critical writing) entitle “The relationship

between the barriers that hinder TQM implementation and the key factors required for TQM
implementation” about 850 words. 2. To make everything clear to the writer, this paper

should focus on the relationship between the barriers that hinder or impeded TQM

 

EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING FORECASTING AND VALUE OF INFORMATION

Module 4 – Case INSTRUCTIONS
RISK: Assignment Overview
Scenario: You are still a consultant for the Excellent Consulting Group. You have completed the first assignment, developing and testing a

forecasting method based on linear regression (Case 3). However, your consulting manager at ECG wants to go the next step and investigate another

forecasting method. It is important to do a thorough job for the client, and you have the expertise to analyze different forecasting methods. You

have decided to look at the sales data for client’s lottery app as a single data set and use a time series analysis, namely SES, single exponential

smoothing.
Case Assignment
Using Excel, use the forecasted sales from Case 3 to compute the MAPE, by doing the following:
1. Calculate the MAPE for the first 12 months (assume the forecast for Month 1 – or January – is equal to January’s actual sales). Use 0.15 and 0.90

alphas.
2. Using the forecasted sales for Feb – April (taken from the Case 3 Linear Regression exercise), compute the MAPE by comparing actual sales for

each month, or Y(t) to forecasted sales, or F(t). Compare this 3-month MAPE to the two MAPE values you calculated in your SES analysis above. Use

the following table:

Month Sales, Y(t) Sales F(t) Y(t) – F(t) PE APE
February ? ? ? ? ?
March ? ? ? ? ?
April ? ? ? ? ?
? ? ?
ME MPE MAPE

Then write a report to your boss that briefly describes the results that you obtained. Using MAPE values, make a recommendation on which method

appears to be more accurate — SES or Linear Regression.
Data: Use the data that you previously have generated from your analyses in Case 3.

Assignment Expectations
Analysis
• Accurate and complete SES analysis in Excel.
Written Report
• Length requirements = 4–5 pages minimum (not including Cover and Reference pages)
• Provide a brief introduction/ background of the problem.
• Complete and accurate Excel analysis.
• Written analysis that supports Excel analysis, and provides thorough discussion of assumptions, rationale, and logic used.
• Complete, meaningful, and accurate recommendation(s).

Global Strategy

 

Global Strategy

1. What accounts for the leadership position that ZARA occupies in the industry?
Some key notes made which can be expanded on (if relevant)
Zara is the leader of fast fashion industry, but is in struggle for industry leadership with H&M
because:
H&M: second biggest number of sales, boost sales by having famous designer collaborations

1. vertical integration (new collections and design anytime, weekly basis, build on customer expectation, inhouse production)
2. super fast turn around (new design every two weeks, short lead-time)
3. listen carefully to customer needs and wants
4. online shopping
5. variety of clothes (diversity of clothes)
6. focus on product design and quality instead of advertisement
7. policy pricing (taking in account of costs)
8. lower quantities, more styles
9. information technology (implementation for platform to anaylse different target segment and their demand)
10. very broad target market, not segmenting as traditionally, (all shape, style, age),..

Management

You are about to re-visit the company you had chosen. The task now is related to materials management for independent ) and dependent

demand . Discuss with the manager(s) the managerial implications of inventory management decision and provide a four-page essay with double

space. You are also allowed to include implications ideas from academic journals with proper citations. You will find a lot of full-text

articles at Library’s online search. You may ask help from the librarian (see the link at left panel for this help) Reference page is

extra. …

The store is a local family owned market here in town named “Dong Huong Gourmet Asian Market”. The owner name is Bao Tran. The store

consist of 7 employees.The questions and answers can be made up for this essay as long as it pertains to the same store that is mentioned

in essay 1 and esay 2 that has been attached. the course for essay is a intro to production/operation management.

Legal Issues

 

Legal Issues

Each question 2,000 words

 

Question 1

“This principal (one’s moral obligation to obey the law) holds that a person is under an obligation to do his part as specified by the rules of an institution whenever he has voluntarily accepted the benefits of the scheme or has taken advantage of the opportunities it offers to advance his interests, provided that this institutions is just or fair”.

Consider the implications of the statement above. What are some of the objections that have been made to this statement over the course of time? In your view, is it justifiable to violate the law? Why or why not? Provide relevant examples to support your position.

 

Question 2

“Law can never serve all members of a community equally, but it can serve a relatively large proportion of ordinary citizens, rather than the rich alone. Inequality cannto be abolished; but if it is somewhat reduced, then the predatory violence, humiliation, dependency and predictability inflicted on the weak can be kept under control.”

Discuss the quotation found above paying attention to the role of law in democratic systems. How is it that the author claims here that the law is somehow able to reduce the many kinds of injustices that are found in society? Do you agree with the author’s argument in this respect? Why or why not? Provide relevant examples to support your argument.

 

Ambulatory Reimbursement

 

You are the Billing Supervisor for a physician practice. A data entry staff member reports to you that she noticed that one of the physicians always bills for a level 4 or 5 for each of their encounters. The data entry staff member does not have access to the physician’s documentation, just the encounter form. What would you do?

Option 1: Ignore the report, since her observations are based on incomplete data, and this is outside the scope of her job anyway.

Option 2: Report the physician for Medicare fraud since this is highly suspicious and you want to protect the organization from a fraud scheme.

Option 3: Recommend to the compliance office that a statistically valid sample of this physician’s encounters be reviewed to determine if the levels assigned on the encounter forms are supported by the documentation in the encounters.

Prepare an initial post which includes the following:

Which option would you choose and why?

Remember to cite any references that you use to support you

 

Leadership Profile

 

Write a profile of a leader you know. Preferably, this is someone in management where you work – or where you once worked. If you don’t know such a

leader, write about some other leader you know who leads an organization such as a school, church, service club, Girl or Boy Scouts, or local National

Guard.
Your profile should include the following:
1. Introductory description of the leader.
2. Show an example of the leader in action.
3. Analyze your leader in terms of one of the theories discussed in your textbook. Example chart below starter that you could complete. Take notes

on the various leadership traits and then select one or two to develop in your profile.
Based on your chart and other notes, finish writing the profile based on your observations and analysis of your leader. Your submitted assignment

should be 1-3 pages. Be sure to use proper spelling, punctuation, and grammar and cite your sources per APA.
Leadership Issue Notes
Big-Five Model:
Extrovert vs. Introvert
Agreeableness
Conscientious
Emotional stability
Openness to experience
Machiavellianism (manipulative, maintains emotional distance)
Fiedler Model: Leader is pleasant/unpleasant, efficient/ inefficient, open/ guarded, supportive/hostile, task-oriented/ relationship-oriented. Note

Leader-member relations, Task structure, Position power. If you think that the Fiedler model is what drives your leader, write your profile

discussing why this is the case. For example, you may have a strong task oriented leader who is very effective because the situational variables are

either very high or very low.
Coercive vs. Rewards leader
Leader behavior: Directive, Supportive, Participative, Achievement-Oriented
Charismatic leader Is your leader an example of charismatic leadership being used when it should not be?

Other: