Recent Activity in Tech Forecasting & Risk Mgmt

Part 1: Identify a specific client or audience. You can think of your project as a consulting contract with that client who is involved in strategic planning and wants help in anticipating potential social and technological change. Alternatively, you can imagine an audience that you feel it is important to inform of potential environmental, social, or technological changes (information not propaganda). For course purposes, imagine that I am that client or audience. Describe the long range issues of concern (or potential concern) to that client or audience and the technological, political, economic, and social uncertainties involved in those issues. Long range will be defined as ten years in the future.

Part 2: Develop a systems model of a technology or industry related to your client’s (audience’s) concerns.This may involve focusing on only one or two of the issues identified in Assignment 1. Make a preliminary list of the actor/actor groups and technologies/subtechnologies to be included in your system. Describe the proposed boundaries of your system, the environment external to your system and the possible boundary spanners and boundary spanning activities. Develop a table describing how each actor/actor group and technology/sub-technology relates to all the others. Translate this into a network model and analyze that model. For at least one of the technologies in your system model, discuss how you would measure or describe the technical and service characteristics of the technology and how it might affect or be affected by the actors in your model and by the external environment. Present, in narrative form, the results of your analyses and the current status of the system under study as it might be presented in a progress report to your client or audience.

Part 3: Present data for at least two but no more than three variables from the previous assignment that describes aspects of the environmental context, the actors’ characteristics, and/or the technical performance of the technology to be studied. Plot the trends, year-to-year differences, year-to-year ratios, and an X-Y plot of differences vs. previous levels. These analyses should each include at least ten years of annual data.Discuss your results. Describe in words the general patterns you observe and identify any potential discontinuities or outliers. Suggest possible causes of these discontinuities. Can you relate them to any events or event sequences? Develop a narrative of the historical development of the technologies included in your system. How has the system evolved? Discuss related past changes in the actor/actor groups and technologies in your system model and in its external environment.

Part 4: Using the data and analysis from the previous assignment, develop 3-5 year baseline projections for each variable. If you develop several different projections, choose one for your baseline and explain why it was chosen. Do not use “pre-canned” spreadsheet regression or forecasting routines unless you explain in detail why you chose the specific routine in preference to other alternatives and what exactly the routine does. This includes any uses of the “Data Analysis Tools” included in Excel. Based on these projections, develop in narrative form a baseline scenario for the next 3-5 years. This should include both qualitative and quantitative description. Tables and graphs of the time series developed in the previous assignment can be included as appropriate. Do not include tables or graphs unless you have developed them yourself.

 Final Assignment: Submit a risk assessment of the entire project using a “Methodology to Manage Risk” framework or similar method. Discuss possible future events and structural changes that might occur in the external environment and that could impact on your baseline projection. These might include such things as new actor groups, changes in related technologies, or changes in the external economic, political, social, or technological environment.

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Effects of a comprehensive educational group intervention in older women with cognitive complaints

TITLE OF ARTICLE THAT IS TO BE CRITIQUED : Effects of a comprehensive educational group intervention in older women with cognitive complaints: A randomized controlled trial.
Aging & Mental Health Vol. 16, No. 2, March 2012, 135–144

Esther M. Hoogenhoutab*, Renate H.M. de Grootac, Wim van der Elsta and Jelle Jollesd aDepartment of Psychiatry and Neuropsychology, Faculty of Health, Medicine and Life Sciences, School for Mental Health and Neuroscience, Maastricht University, The Netherlands; bVitalis Geriatric Healthcare, Eindhoven, The Netherlands; cCentre for Learning Sciences and Technologies, Open University of the Netherlands, Heerlen, The Netherlands; dCentre Brain and Learning and AZIRE Research Institute, Faculty of Psychology and Education, VU University, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
(Received 3 October 2010; final version received 12 June 2011).
PAPER INSTRUCTIONS:
Critique the quantitative article “Effects of a Comprehensive Educational Group Intervention in Older Women with Cognitive Complaints: A Randomized Controlled Trial” using the Rapid Critical Appraisal Questions for Randomized Controlled Trials in Melnyk and Fineout-Overholt (2015). All questions should be addressed in the paper. An introduction and conclusion of the assignment are required.
The body of the paper should not exceed 4 pages (double-spaced). A title page and reference page are required. No abstract page is necessary. Do not critique the abstract of the article.
Do not write this paper in a question and answer format. This paper should be written in a scholarly APA format.
WOULD THE WRITER BE ABLE TO LOCATE THE COMPLETE ARTICLE THAT IS TO BE CRITIQUED (Effects of a comprehensive educational group intervention in older women with cognitive complaints: A randomized controlled trial)
? AND ALSO THE RAPID CRITICAL APPRAISAL CHECKLIST FOR RANDOMIZED CLINICAL TRIAL ( RCT) FOUND IN THE BOOK : EVIDENCE BASED PRACTICE IN NURSING & HEALTHCARE BY MELNYK & FINEOUT- OVERHOLT, 2015.
Please let me know. Thanks

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Three Minute Elevator Pitch and 1 page Summary

You will produce a three minute video recording and a one page summary of the key points covered for submission.

The video recording will be an “Elevator Pitch”. An “Elevator Pitch” is a concise, carefully planned, and well-practiced message, in this assignment it is about the importance of HRM to business success. It should contain a “hook” to interest the listener and have a clear structure. The recording should be a maximum of 3 minutes; and contain a follow up request for a future meeting.

The purpose of this assignment is to:

To convince a CEO that HRM is crucial to organisational success, in just 3 minutes.

The Situation:

You are in the elevator of the 43-storey office building you work in. you are alone, until Michael Mahoney the CEO of Fastway Internet Service Provider, joins you. Michael does not know your name, but recognises your face from the Fastway HR team. He smiles at you and asks, “So what can HRM do to support Fastway’s strategy?” you know this is your opportunity to persuade Michael of the importance of HR for the success of Fastway.

The strategy at Fastway is to make it simple for everyone to connect to the Internet. They have a vision to lead the market and be a leader in customer service. Fastway employees more than 1500 staff, across four countries most of who are employed to directly service almost 700,000 customers with more than 1.25 million internet services in the Asia Pacific region.

  1. Identify Goals (4 main goals)
  • What you intend to do?
  • Why does the company need to do that?
  • How to manage it for the next 10 years?
  1. Key themes (1500 staff to manage)
  2. Explain how HRM supports the Fastway’s goals

 

*Use words like “In the latest review…”, “Harvard Business shows….”, “Whose report proved that….”

*Use Times New Roman, 11 points, 1.5 spacing, 15 references

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Intervention Proposal

I/O experts are often expected to develop proposals for interventions to address workplace needs. For this assessment, develop a proposal to leadership for a diversity intervention to address performance and job satisfaction, based upon the following scenario:

"Company G" is a large manufacturing company with 5,000 employees, all based in the United States. The company also operates globally and has customers in Europe and Asia. You were hired as the consultant to assist "Company G" in becoming more culturally sensitive and to leverage the advantages of the diversity with its employees. The demographics of the company include both males and females. Although there are more males than females, females are a growing demographic. The company’s ethnic demographics include American-born Caucasians, African Americans, and Hispanics. There are also a small number of management employees from India and Asia, all who are educated and speak English. There have recently been hired around 800 workers who are new immigrants from Serbia. Most of these new workers are in the same area of the organization. The organization has operated for 100 years and has workers of all ages from traditionals (WWll), baby boomers, to GenX, to millennials.

The leaders believe there is a relationship between diversity and organizational effectiveness and are looking for increases in overall performance and job satisfaction as a result of the diversity intervention you design. Since organizations are complex social systems, there are multiple successful paths (equifinality) to an outcome. What the leaders are looking for is a successful path that appeals best to them.

Make sure that the information that you present is organized and professional, and provides appropriate context for the target audience. Your proposal must include:

The background questions you need to ask leaders for clarification. This is the most critical aspect of creating a proposal. If you do not ask the right questions, you will not get the information to develop an effective intervention. This should be a comprehensive section, with at least one page of probing questions. Be sure to consider:
What kind of specific background information would you need to have?
What are potential obstacles or existing issues that should be addressed?
The type of methodology you would use to collect data on the organization (quantitative, qualitative (use this one, supporting articles attached!!!!), or mixed.) Explain the rationale for the methodology you would choose and provide two scholarly references.
The type of intervention you would likely design and the rationale for the design, based upon foundational theories and current practices in the I/O field. Include two references from scholarly literature.
An explanation of professional standards for ethics and diversity for the intervention and evaluation plan. Include one scholarly reference.
The expected results from the intervention.
A plan to evaluate the effectiveness of the intervention.

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opinion response on article

Chapter 1 of textbook ‘Historical and Sociological Perspectives of Multiculturalism in America Business.’ Pearson, 2014. Pick one of the articles and answer the questions at the end of the article. Write a critique essay that is coherent incorporating the answers to the questions into a cogent paper

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create scripts.

You have been hired as a system administrator for a small company. Your primary job responsibility is to maintain company servers named Serv1 and Serv2.
The following tasks have to be performed every day and you would like them automated.
Display the System, Application and Security event viewer logs for both servers to make sure there are no Error or Warning messages that happened overnight.
Save the previous day’s Error and Warning events from the 3 event logs from each server. All tracked events for each server should be stored in a single file in the folder C:logfiles. I.e. this file should contain 3 sections, labeled "System", "Application" and "Security", with each section representing the referenced event log data. The files should be named EventLogsServY-XX, where Y is the Server number and XX should be replaced by today’s date.
After you review the logs file, you may wish to have it backed up for archival purposes to a USB external drive and delete the original file from the C:logfile folder. Since you may only do this in special cases, you do not know ahead of time the UNC path to the backup folder. You wish to create a script automate this task by completing the following steps in a script.
Copy the EventLogsServY-XX files to a backup drive. The exact name of the EventLogsServY-XX file, the drive letter and location of the backup file should be user input variables at the time the script is executed. The script should also ask, if there are more files to be backed up and exit only if there are no more files to be backed up.
After the EventLogsServY-XX files have been backed up, the original files located on the C:logfiles folder should be deleted.
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interpretive design

You only need to research and analysis the subject that i give you. You don’t have to draw the site plan. (Please analysis the subject as the interpretive design method, and follow the outline that i give you below. ) You can look at the pdf sample, but you only need to analysis as the outline form.P(5.u)
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Computer Readiness and Hypothesis Testing

Computer Readiness and Hypothesis Testing
The assignment:
This is a preliminary assignment using Microsoft Excel’s Analysis Toolpak and the statistical package SAS to solve a statistical inference problem. As you work, keep in mind you are collecting results in a single word processing file to be saved as a Word file
How to do it:
1. View the Quick Start Guide to SAS in the Cloud located on my personal site. Work through this Quick Start Guide and save your SAS commands (“SAS code” or “command file”) and statistical results. Be sure to save the results you get, near the end of the Quick Start Guide, when you deliberately make SAS mistakes.
2. Having done the work so far to familiarize yourself with how Excel and SAS statistical tools work, now consider the problem at hand: advising employees who participate in a firm’s 401(k) investment program. Two different kinds of investments are available: (1) actively managed funds, which hire managers who conduct analysis and seek the best investments; and (2) passively managed funds that only seek to track market indexes, thereby getting an average return before expenses.
3. One possible null hypothesis is that active and passive investors have the same long-term return. After conducting some online research and before looking this problem’s data set, answer in words and explain: What is a reasonable alternative hypothesis? Cite any online sources that you use.
4. Bring up Microsoft Excel and install the Analysis Toolpak. Directions are located at https://support.office.com/en-us/article/Load-the-Analysis-ToolPak-305c260e-224f-4739-9777-2d86f1a5bd89 (Links to an external site.)Links to an external site.. For earlier versions of Excel, the toolpak works just the same way, but you will need to find directions for your own older version.
5. From the Canvas site’s Files, download data01.xlsx and open it in Excel. Using the Analysis Toolpak you just installed, choose Descriptive Statistics and OK. Enter the data range b2..b32 and check the box for Summary Statistics. Click OK, and you should now have a summary statistics table for the variable RETURN, which equals each participant’s rate of return for a specified period. You’ll be putting this table into the document you submit at the end of this assignment.
6. The constructed data set data01.xlsx reflects the experience of employees who invested in their firm’s 401(k) plan. PASSIVE is a variable equal to 1 for those who invested in the passive option, and equal to 0 for those who invested in actively managed funds. The null hypothesis is H0: m0 = m1 . In symbols, what is your alternative hypothesis?
7. Now Microsoft Excel’s Tools Data Analysis to calculate Descriptive Statistics (check the Summary Statistics option) separately for the passive and active investors. Hang onto both sets of summary statistics to turn in.
8. Set up a two-tailed test of the hypothesis that for the non-passive investors only (those with PASSIVE = 0) the average return is 4.14 percent. (H0: m1 = 4.14). Show all calculations for the test statistic, remembering that it equals the [(actual value of the sample mean minus the value it would have under the null hypothesis), all divided by the calculated standard error]. Report whether or not you reject the null hypothesis at the 5 percent significance level. Using the computer or a pen at your option, draw a graph to illustrate your test.
9. Set up a one-tailed test of the null hypothesis that the average return of the non-passive investors is greater than or equal to 4.14. (H0: m1 ≥14). Report whether or not you reject the null hypothesis at the 5 percent significance level. Using the computer or a pen at your option, draw a graph to illustrate your test.
10. Next, use Microsoft Excel to do a two-sample test of the null hypothesis that there is no difference in returns between active and passive investors. Be sure to use the “t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances” analysis tool under Tools Data Analysis. You will enter the cells for one group as “Variable 1” and the other group as “Variable 2.” Hang on to the results of this test to turn in. You do not need to provide any commentary on this test.
11. Finally, use SAS to run a difference of means test on this data set. Keep your SAS command file and results of this test, and save them to turn in as part of your file. You will probably need to consult the full SAS guide located on Canvas to get the necessary commands to run this test. You do not need to provide any commentary on this test.
One additional note: Because of differences in the null hypothesis, do not expect that you will get identical t-statistics when you do the different versions of this test.

What to turn in:
In a single Word .docx file, submit your answers to the questions. Include, in this order:
• a description and error messages from the mistakes you generated in the SAS Quick-Start Guide
• the result of running the SAS Quick-Start Guide problem
• your answer the question about active vs. passive investors, with citation
• the table of descriptive statistics from the full sample and the active and passive parts
• full support for your calculated t-statistics in the hypothesis tests
• drawings of your hypothesis tests (use a computer, or draw and then take a picture with your phone).
• results of your Excel two-sample hypothesis test
• your SAS command file from the final question
• SAS results from the final question
Other notes:
1. Be sure to carefully cite any online sources that you use

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Wk 2 Business Research

Correct the Week 1 Business Research Paper  order number
Follow the instructions in the Business Research Paper Template

Pls Note
My week 1 Business Research Paper is using Age and Maintenance, the dataset and variables were chosen in Week 1. The Business Research Paper is based on these choices through out the course, so pls stay on this topic.

See my attached week 1 graded research and the rest of files.

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Non-Grashof

MAE 4120 – Machine Design II
Project Assignment #1
Objectives
• Analytically determine the position of each link in a linkage and any point on a link
• Write MATLAB code to determine the position of each link in a linkage and any point on
a link
• Use the CAD software that comes with the text to determine the position of each link in
a linkage and any point on a link
• Evaluate the use of CAD packages for linkage design
• Prepare an effective technical brief- a recommendation based on the comparison of two
options
Purpose
You have been given the assignment to evaluate a software package for you company. You
want to be able to evaluate position, velocity, and acceleration analyses which are important
for the design of your linkages. (In this project, you will learn to use the software that
accompanies the Norton text for doing velocity and acceleration analyses of a four-bar linkage.
Appendix A in your text is a user’s guide that gives detailed information on how to use the
software.) Then you will write MATLAB code to serve the same purpose as the commercial
code. You will then make a recommendation on purchasing the commercial code vs. writing
your own.
Chebyshevsky Linkage
1) Run fourbar
2) From the main menu go to “Examples”.
3) Create the Chebyshevsky linkage.
4) Select the defaults for calculating the linkage.
5) Animate the linkage.
6) Print the coupler curve (printing procedure is given later in this lab handout)
7) Plot the angular velocity of the coupler vs. time (this may be difficult)
8) Repeat the plot for the output (link 4)
9) Plot the velocity and acceleration for the coupler vs time (2 separate plots). What are the
maximums (absolute value)?
More Linkages
12) Create a 4 bar linkage of your own with a coupler point set off the link axis. You cannot use
the default linkages in the program! Select link lengths so that the linkage is Grashoff and
repeat steps 5 through 9 for your linkage.
13) Change one link length so that your linkage is non-Grashoff. Repeat steps 5-7
14) Write Matlab code to determine the position, velocity and acceleration for each link in a 4-
bar linkage and for any point on link 3. Your code should allow you to input the range on input
angles and the increment of the input angle. Develop a way to show the results in a useful form
for design.
Report
Submit a short formal report, sometimes called a technical brief. Include the recorded results.
Be sure to be clear so that I know what parameters correspond to which results. Include plots.
Describe how your linkages compare to the straight-line linkages. Compare your Grashoff and
Non-Grashoff linkage. The report must be written from the perspective of evaluating the
software for commercial use in design. Compare your matlab code with the commercial code
and make a recommendation with justification for your choice.
Grading Rubric
Chebyshevsky Linkage (15 points)
Coupler curve
Velocity vs Time
Output vs Time
Coupler V and Accel. vs T & Max
Grashoff Linkage (15 points)
Coupler curve
Velocity vs Time
Output vs Time & Max
Coupler V and Accel. vs T & Max
Non – Grashoff Linkage (10 points)
Coupler curve
Velocity vs Time
Compare Grashoff and Non – Grashoff
Working MATLAB code (30 points)
Comparison of MATLAB to CAD results & explanation (10 points)
Technical writing/presentation (2

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