Author: admin

 

title page, abstract, table of contents, reference list, and appendices.

• References: A minimum of 5 primary references and 5 biblical references. All references must be cited in the body of the paper and included in the

reference list. Biblical references are only cited in text.
I. Introduction
Gangs have grown into an endemic which continues to plague today’s society.
No Law enforcement officials or gang research have agreed on a common definition for the word gang (Howell, 2003).
Studies have shown that gangs have and continue to migrate, spreading eastward from the West coast (Sharp & Hancock, 1998)

II. Risk Factors Influencing Gang Membership
Based on the Anomie/Alienation such conditions encourage gang formation in both cultural and an individual level.
A. Cultural level
1. Youths are encouraged to join during periods of social, economic, and cultural turmoil.
B. Individual level
1. Youth who are alienated from family and are looking for a place to belong (Siegel & Welsh, 2011A).

III. Safeguarding Factors Against Gang Membership
Communities with youth concerns first must acknowledged that in deed may have a gang problem, instead of ignoring the blatant and at times covert signs

indicating a problem (Bartollas& Miller, 2005).
IV. Prevention
Juveniles whose needs are not being met in social contacts such as with family members, teachers, school activities, church groups and or community

organizations are more likely to be attracted to street and youth gang. (Bartollas&Miller, 2005).
There is a necessity for communities to implement youth oriented programs which would potentially provide them with positive alternatives to occupy

their time.

V. Conclusion
Gang concerns have affected different communities for a long time now, and will continue to do so, however, this problem could be diminished with proper

planning and expanding of resources.

References:

Bartollas, C. Miller, S. 2005. Juvenile Justice in America. 4th Edition. Upper Saddle River. New Jersey. PEARSON Prentice Hall

Friedman, C. Mann, F. Adelman H. 1976. Juvenile Street Gangs: The victimization of youth. Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com/document

11292890228?

Howell, J. 2003. Preventing & Reducing Juvenile Delinquency: A comprehensive Framework. Thousand Oaks. CA. Sage Publication

Sharp, P. Hancock, B. 1998. Juvenile Delinquency: Historical, Theoretical, and Societal
Reactions to Youth. Upper Saddle River. New Jersey. Prentice Hall

Siegel, L. Welch, B. 2011. Juvenile Delinquency: The Core. Liberty University. Fourth Edition.
Cengage Learning. Mason, OH.

Tapia, M. 2010. U. S. Juvenile Arrests: Gang Membership, Social Class, and Labeling Effects.
Retrieved from Http://yas.sagepub.com/content/43/4/1407

Siegel, L. Welch, B. 2011. Juvenile Delinquency: The Core

 

https://books.google.nl/books?id=DuAhDgAAQBAJ&printsec=frontcover&dq=Siegel,+L.+Welch,+B.+2011.+Juvenile+Delinquency:+The

+Core&hl=en&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwiAgY3_2_DVAhUEU1AKHfZuCCQQ6AEILzAB#v=onepage&q&f=false

 

Sharp, P. Hancock, B. 1998. Juvenile Delinquency: Historical, Theoretical, and Societal
Reactions to Youth

 

https://books.google.nl/books?id=PdOlie8UbVMC&pg=PA318&dq=Sharp,+P.+Hancock,+B.+1998.+Juvenile+Delinquency:+Historical,+Theoretical,+and+Societal

+Reactions+to+Youth&hl=en&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwiRh8_m2_DVAhUEaVAKHZHoAAsQ6AEIKDAA#v=onepage&q=Sharp%2C%20P.%20Hancock%2C%20B.%201998.%20Juvenile

%20Delinquency%3A%20Historical%2C%20Theoretical%2C%20and%20Societal%20Reactions%20to%20Youth&f=false

Howell, J. 2003. Preventing & Reducing Juvenile Delinquency: A comprehensive Framework. Thousand Oaks. CA. Sage Publication

 

https://books.google.nl/books?id=mVeVMu2SNwAC&pg=PT368&dq=Howell,+J.+2003.+Preventing+%26+Reducing+Juvenile+Delinquency:+A+comprehensive

+Framework&hl=en&sa=X&redir_esc=y#v=onepage&q=Howell%2C%20J.%202003.%20Preventing%20%26%20Reducing%20Juvenile%20Delinquency%3A%20A%20comprehensive

%20Framework&f=false

 

 

Living a healthy lifestyle

You must include how you will address the following aspects of your health: 1. Physical – This may include dietary choices, the use of supplements or medicine, exercise choices, environmental factors, weight management, the elimination of tobacco use, or preventative medicine. You may consider how you will ensure optimal health care from your provider(s). If you are not sure how to proceed, think about a health condition or disease that runs in your family. What can you do to reduce your chances of getting this condition? Or, how can you ensure your physical safety? 2. Emotional – You can consider stress management techniques, ways to boost your level of happiness, address your spiritual needs, and improve your sleep habits. 3. Social – What would you do to improve on your existing relationships or build new ones? What considerations would be key in your being able to do this successfully?

 

 

Forecasting and Aggregate Planning

You have learned about the various aspects of operations management. In this final week, the focus will be on two additional strategies, forecasting, and aggregate planning. With as quickly as today’s marketplace changes, managers need to be able to maximize the use of available resources as well as adjust strategies quickly to meet the market demands. Two basic production strategies, level strategy, and chase strategy, help managers transform forecasts or estimates of market demand into a production plan for efficiently and effectively meeting that demand.

To prepare for this Discussion, consider the following:

One option for managing costs associated with changes in demand for a product or service is hiring additional personnel during periods of increasing demand and conducting layoffs during lower-demand periods.

Post a 275-word statement that addresses the following:

• What are the advantages and disadvantages of using the option of hiring additional personnel during periods of increasing demand and conducting layoffs during lower-demand periods for managing operating costs?

Additional notes:
1.) Use several resources and examples to support thinking.

 

Student Learning Outcomes
• Differentiate between descriptive statistics and inferential statistics
• Differentiate between inferential test statistics an p-values
• Given a p-value make a decision about whether one should reject or retain the null hypothesis
• Given information about data decide which test one should use
• Given the descriptive statistics, a test statistic, and the p-value explain the findings using plain language, and in APA style.
• Choose the best interpretation of the data given inferential and descriptive statistics
• Select the appropriate conclusion given inferential statistics, means, and SDs

Application Activity 1
Part A. Below are excerpts from journal articles. For each excerpt, identify the descriptive statistic and identify the inferential statistic.

Also, decide which value is the test statistic and which value is the p-value. Then, decide what decision the author should make about the null

and alternative hypothesis. Finally, based on the finding describe two possible interpretations of the data (see page. 178 in Mitchell et al.

for help with this).

A. Participants in the wronging condition reported a higher mean entitlement score (M = 4.34, SD = 1.23) than did control participants (M

= 3.85, SD = 1.19), t(92) = 1.96, p = .05.
1. Bold descriptive statistics and underline or highlight inferential statistics.
2. List test statistic _______________, p value ________________
3. What decision should the author make about the null hypothesis (i.e., retain or reject)?
4. What are two possible interpretations of the data?

B. People who wrote about a time when their lives were unfair were more frustrated (M = 2.45, SD = 1.21) than were people who wrote about

a time when they were bored (M = 1.94, SD = 1.11), t(103) = 2.25, p = .03.
1. Bold descriptive statistics and underline or highlight inferential statistics.
2. List test statistic _______________, p value ________________
3. What decision should the author make about the null hypothesis (i.e., retain or reject)?
4. What are two possible interpretations?

C. People who wrote about a time when their lives were unfair did report being more angry after writing the essay (M = 2.05, SD = 1.18)

than did people who wrote about a time when they were bored (M = 1.34, SD = .77), t(103) = 3.64, p < .001
1. Bold descriptive statistics and underline or highlight inferential statistics.
2. List test statistic _______________, p value ________________
3. What decision should the author make about the null hypothesis (i.e., retain or reject)?
4. What are two possible interpretations?

D. There was not a significant difference in the mean of the negative affect words on the PANAS between participants in the wronging

condition (M = 1.70, SD = .54) and control condition (M = 1.55, SD = .53),t(103) = 1.50, p = .14.
1. Bold descriptive statistics and underline or highlight inferential statistics.
2. List test statistic _______________, p value ________________
3. What decision should the author make about the null hypothesis (i.e., retain or reject)?
4. What are two possible interpretations?

E. There was a strong positive relationships between eating ice cream and donation behavior, r(56) = 0.78, p < .003.
1. Bold descriptive statistics and underline or highlight inferential statistics.
2. List test statistic _______________, p value ________________
3. What decision should the author make about the null hypothesis (i.e., retain or reject)?
4. What are two possible interpretations?

F. Further, the ice cream eating was not related to massaging one’s forehead, r(56) = 0.24, p = .15.
1. Bold descriptive statistics and underline or highlight inferential statistics.
2. List test statistic _______________, p value ________________
3. What decision should the author make about the null hypothesis (i.e., retain or reject)?
4. What are two possible interpretations?

G. Is there a general pattern that you noticed across all results excerpts?

Part B. Choose the best interpretation of the data below.
Imagine I found the following correlation between attractiveness and life success, r(34) = 0.78, p = .003. Which of the following is the best

interpretation of the data?
a. Attractive people are less successful on average than unattractive people
b. Attractive people are more successful on average compared to unattractive people
c. There is a strong relationship between attractiveness and life success such that as attractiveness increases so does life success
d. There is a weak relationship between attractiveness and life success such that as attractiveness increases so does life success
e. There is a strong negative relationship between attractiveness and life success.

Imagine that I had two drugs, X and Z. I administered the drugs to people with sleep difficulties for one month. The mean amount of sleep

difficulties reported in the drug X groupin the past month was 3.44 (SD = 2.34) and the mean in drug Z was 4.66 (SD = 1.23), t(56) = 2.10, p =

.10. What is the best interpretation of the data?
a. Drug Z decreased the frequency of sleep trouble as compared to Drug X
b. There were no differences in sleep troubles reported by those in drug X group compared to those in the drug Z group.
c. There was no significant relationship between drug type and reported sleep trouble
d. There was a significant decrease in sleep troubles reported by those who consumed drug X compared to drug Z.
e. Sleep trouble decreased as a function of drug use.

Application Activity 2
Imagine that I was interested in the effect of benevolent intentions on pleasure. Participants received one of two types of goodies: a tootsie

roll with a note that read, “I picked this goodie just for you. I hope you like it!” or a note that read, “I was told to pick this goodie. So,

whatever.” After the participants completed a puzzle and ate the candy they were asked how delicious they thought the good was on a scale that

ranged from 1 (not at all delicious) to 6 (extremely delicious). The data are below.

Benevolent condition, M = 4.55, SD = 2.10 Apathetic condition, M = 2. 30 SD = 1.25

1. Describe the mean differences in plain language.

2. Describe the variability in both conditions.

3. Decide which statistical test you should use.

4. Imagine the following data: t(38) = 6.38, p < .001. What would you conclude about the effect of benevolent intention on pleasure?

5. Which of the above is an inferential statistic?

6. Write an APA style sentence describing the descriptive and inferential statistics.

Application Activity 3

Imagine a researcher conducted a study using survey/correlation methods. She asked people complete the Happiness Scale and she asked how often

they go on vacation. Then she correlated happiness and vacation frequency to see if there was a relationship. Finally, she divided people into

four groups based on their income and examined the relationships separately.

Poor folks Moderate income folks Rich folks Filthy Rich folks
r(34) = .62 r(36) = .59 r(24) = .44 r(20) = .30

1)Describe the relationship between vacation frequency and happiness for rich folks.

2)In which group is the relationship between vacation frequency and happiness strongest?

3)What is the best interpretation of the data for moderate income folks?

4)Which of the following would support your above conclusion?
a) r(36) = .59, p = .06
b) r(36) = .59, p = .08
c) r(36) = .59, p = .05
d) r(36) = .59, p = .16

5)Below are the actual data for moderate income folks. Given the data write an APA style sentence.

r = .56
df = 32
p< .001

 

Talk about Abraham Maslow
For your selected person write a 3-4 page paper (page count does not include title and reference pages) in APA format that responds to the following

points:

1. Who is your person? Abraham Maslow
2. Summarize the main points of the contribution or what they are known for.
3. Your reaction; do you agree or disagree with their work and ideas?
4. Application: how would you use this as a manager?
5. Use at least 3 scholarly references other than the text book.

 

EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING FORECASTING AND VALUE OF INFORMATION

Module 4 – SLP INSTUCTIONS
RISK: EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING FORECASTING AND VALUE OF INFORMATION
Scenario: Using the same situation from SLP 3, recall that you are deciding between three investments. You have heard of an Expert who has a “track

record” of high confidence in correctly identifying when market conditions are favorable or not. You are now considering whether to consult this

“expert” and if it would be worth paying his fee to get his prediction. So you are going to do further analysis to determine the value of this

information that the expert might provide.
In order to simply the analysis a bit, you have decided to look at two possible outcomes for each alternative instead of three. You are interested

in whether the market will be Favorable or Unfavorable, so you have collapsed the Medium and Low outcomes. Here are the three alternatives with the

adjusted NPV outcome and probabilities.
Option A: Real estate development. This is a risky opportunity with the possibility of a high payoff, but also with no payoff at all. You have

reviewed all of the possible data for the outcomes in the next 10 years and these are your estimates of the Net Present Value of the cash flow and

probabilities.
High/Favorable NPV: $5 million, Pr = 0.5
Unfavorable NPV: $1.2 million, Pr = 0.5
Option B: Retail franchise for Just Hats, a boutique type store selling fashion hats for men and women. This also is a risky opportunity but less so

than option A. It has the potential for less risk of failure, but also a lower payoff. You have reviewed all of the possible data for the outcomes

in the next 10 years and these are your estimates of the Net Present Value of the cash flow and probabilities.
High/Favorable NPV: $3.4 million, Pr = 0.75
Unfavorable NPV: $2 million, Pr = 0.25
Note that this option requires less investment, so there is $0.2 million available, which will be invested in the same bonds as Option C. The NPV of

this investment in this option (B) is $0.4 million. This has been added to NPV for the Favorable and Unfavorable outcomes of the boutique.
Option C: High Yield Municipal Bonds. This option has low risk and is assumed to be a Certainty. So there is only one outcome with probability of

1.0
NPV: $1.5 million, Pr = 1.0
You have contacted the Expert and received a letter stating his track record which you have checked out by several resources. Here is his stated

track record:

True State of the Market
Expert Prediction Favorable Unfavorable
Predicts “Favorable” .9 .3
Predicts “Unfavorable” .1 .7

You realize that this situation is a bit complicated since it requires the expert to analyze and predict the state of two different markets: the

real estate market and the retail hat market. You think through the issues of probabilities and how to calculate the joint probabilities of both

markets going up, both going down, or one up and the other down. Base on your original estimates of success, here are your calculations of the

single probabilities and joint probabilities of the markets.
Probabilities Favorable Unfavorable
A: Real Estate 0.50 0.50
B: Just Hats 0.75 0.25

Joint Probabilities
A Fav, B Fav (A+, B+) 0.375
A Unf, B Unf (A-, B-) 0.125
A Fav, B Unf (A+, B-) 0.125
A Unf, B Fav (A-, B+) 0.375

Finally, after a great deal of analysis and calculations, you have determined the Posterior probabilities of Favorable and Unfavorable Markets for

the Real Estate business and the boutique hat business.
Real Estate Just Hats
F U F U
0.45 says “F/F” 0.75 0.25 0.90 0.10
0.15 says “F/U” 0.75 0.25 0.30 0.70
0.30 says “U/F” 0.125 0.875 0.90 0.10
0.10 says “U/U” 0.125 0.875 0.30 0.70

For example, this table says that there is 45% chance that the expert will predict Favorable for both markets (F/F), and when he makes this

prediction, there is a 75% chance that the Real Estate market will be favorable and 25% chance that it won’t, and also a 90% chance that the Hat

market will be Favorable and 10% chance it won’t.
You have developed a decision tree showing the original collapsed solution and also showing an expanded decision tree for evaluating the value of

the expert’s information. You need to enter the probabilities into this tree to see if the expert’s information will increase the overall expected

value of your decision. Download the Excel file with the incomplete decision tree. SLP 4-Decision Tree.xlsx
Assignment
Complete the information in the decision tree in the Excel file. Determine the Expected NPV of the decision if you were to consult the Expert. Does

this increase the value of your analysis? By how much?
Write a report to your private investment company and explain your analysis and your recommendation. Provide a rationale for your decision. 
Upload

both your written report and Excel file with the Decision Tree analysis to the SLP4 Dropbox.
SLP Assignment Expectations
Analysis
• Accurate and complete analysis in Excel.
Required:
• Length requirements = 2–3 pages minimum (not including Cover and Reference pages)
• Provide a brief introduction/ background of the problem.
• Complete and accurate Excel analysis.
• Written analysis that supports Excel analysis, and provides thorough discussion of assumptions, rationale, and logic used.
• Complete, meaningful, and accurate recommendation(s).

Question 1: The Platt Amendment and the Roosevelt Corollary created tensions between
the United States and Latin America. Based on what you know about both, why might Latin
Americans take offense to both the Platt Amendment and the Roosevelt Corollary.
Question 2: While Woodrow Wilson sometimes ignored his “Moral Diplomacy” initiatives,
they were in stark contrast to Roosevelt’s “Big Stick” and Taft’s “Dollar Diplomacy” views
toward Latin American interventions. Compare and Contrast the differences between
Wilson’s and his two predecessors’ views.

Submit electronic copy via Student Portal
Marks: 10

Read the Case Study “Turnaround at Nissan” attached in your Portal and answer the following questions in a short essay format. Each question

carries 5 marks.

1. What was done to improve efficiency, adaptation, and human relations, and how were the potential trade-offs among these performance

determinants handled?
2. What effective change management practices were used at Nissan?
3. What traits and skills can help to explain the successful strategic leadership by Ghosn?

Clashing with Western Medicine
J.T. is a 78 year old Hmong woman. She is currently experiencing extreme shortness of breath at her home. She was alone in her home. Her neighbor noticed her distress and called 911. J.T. is of Southern Chinese descent, on Medicare, and has lived in the U.S. for 45 years. EMS believes J.T. needs emergency care at a hospital. The Hmong have an unfavorable regard for hospitals, believing hospitals were inhabited by spirits of people who died there (Thorburn, Kue, Keon, & Lo, 2012).

Answer two (2) of the following questions based on your readings this week and the scenario above:

1. How does J.T.’s cultural perceptions and beliefs impact delivery of care?
2. Does the patient having Medicare mean they have acculturated to Western beliefs on health care? Explain.
3. Briefly compare and contrast the differences in care, insurance, and hospitals of the U.S. and China. Think about if J.T. were in China, how would circumstances be different for her care?
4. If you become a traveling Transcultural Nurse and practice in China, how might you prepare to manage practice in their healthcare delivery system?
Reference

Thorburn, S., Kue, J., Keon, K., & Lo, P. (2012). Medical mistrust and discrimination in health care: A Qualitative study of Hmong women and men. Journal Of Community Health, 37(4), 822-829 8p.

 

 

Write a 1,050- to 1,400- word paper discussing how and why statistical data should be used by criminal justice leadership. A few examples include:

Statistical support to criminal justice policy making
Criminal justice research in support of community policing
Criminal justice research in support of community engagement

Format your paper consistent with APA guidelines.